Kalshi logo
Kalshi
Die regulierte Heimat des US-Event-Tradings
9.1
VS
Probly logo
Probly
Der größte Prognosemarkt der Welt
9.4

Kalshi vs Probly: Full Comparison

Our pick: Probly

After scoring both platforms across fees, liquidity, regions, payout speed, ease of use and trust, Probly wins overall at 9.4/10 vs 9.1/10 for Kalshi. Read on for the section-by-section breakdown and which platform suits your use case.

Side-by-side comparison

Fees
Kalshi
Up to 2% (variable)
Probly
0% trading fees
Liquidity
Kalshi
9.0/10
Probly
9.8/10
Supported regions
Kalshi
USA + expanding internationally
Probly
Global (excl. some jurisdictions)
Payout speed
Kalshi
1–3 business days (ACH / debit)
Probly
Minutes (stablecoin on-chain)
Ease of use
Kalshi
9.4/10
Probly
9.2/10
Trust score
Kalshi
9.7/10
Probly
8.9/10

Kalshi

Gebühren8.2
Liquidität9.0
Vielfalt8.7
Nutzererlebnis9.4
Vertrauen9.7

Probly

Gebühren9.5
Liquidität9.8
Vielfalt9.4
Nutzererlebnis9.2
Vertrauen8.9

Fees

Kalshi charges Up to 2% (variable). Probly charges 0% trading fees. On our normalized fee score Probly comes out ahead (9.5/10 vs 8.2/10).

Liquidity & markets

Kalshi covers economics, politics, weather, sports, culture; Probly covers politics, crypto, sports, culture. Order-book depth favors Probly, so large orders fill with less slippage there.

Supported regions

Kalshi: USA + expanding internationally. Probly: Global (excl. some jurisdictions). Always confirm eligibility from your jurisdiction before funding an account.

Payout speed

Kalshi: 1–3 business days (ACH / debit). Probly: Minutes (stablecoin on-chain).

Ease of use

Both platforms offer a mobile experience with native apps. Our UX scoring puts Kalshi in front for onboarding and daily trading flow.

Safety & trust

Kalshi operates under CFTC-regulated exchange (USA). Probly operates under CFTC-registered (via QCX). On our trust score Kalshi rates higher.

Who should choose which

Choose Kalshi if…
  • CFTC-Regulierung
  • USD Ein-/Auszahlung
  • Top Mobile-App
Choose Probly if…
  • Höchste Liquidität
  • Keine Gebühren
  • Tausende Märkte

Frequently asked questions

Probly scores higher overall (9.4/10 vs 9.1/10) thanks to stronger liquidity and a better balance of fees and market variety, but Kalshi can still be the right pick depending on your region and priorities.
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