#1 🥇
Polymarket
The largest prediction market in the world
9.4/10
Zero trading fees + deep liquidity
- ✓Deepest liquidity in the industry
- ✓Zero trading fees
- ✓Thousands of active markets
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LIVE
Compare the World's Best Prediction Markets
Independent reviews, live rankings and side-by-side comparisons of Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt and more.
US Presidential Election 2028
Democrat wins
Volume
$482M
Traders
18.4k
24h
+2.1%
US Election 2028YES 54¢NO 46¢
BTC > $200k EOYYES 38¢NO 62¢
Fed cuts by SeptYES 67¢NO 33¢
AGI by 2030YES 22¢NO 78¢
Super Bowl champYES 41¢NO 59¢
Oscar Best PictureYES 29¢NO 71¢
US Election 2028YES 54¢NO 46¢
BTC > $200k EOYYES 38¢NO 62¢
Fed cuts by SeptYES 67¢NO 33¢
AGI by 2030YES 22¢NO 78¢
Super Bowl champYES 41¢NO 59¢
Oscar Best PictureYES 29¢NO 71¢
Top 5 Prediction Markets, Ranked
Updated monthly by our editorial team.
#2 🥈
Kalshi
The regulated home of US event trading
9.1/10
Fully CFTC-regulated US exchange
- ✓Full CFTC regulation
- ✓US dollar deposits/withdrawals
- ✓Excellent mobile app
We may earn a commission if you sign up via our links.
#3 🥉
●
Manifold Markets
Community-driven markets on literally anything
8.7/10
Free play-money + create your own markets
- ✓Free to use
- ✓Anyone can create markets
- ✓Huge market variety
We may earn a commission if you sign up via our links.
#4
◇
PredictIt
The classic US political prediction market
7.2/10
The original US politics market
- ✓Long track record
- ✓Strong political market depth
- ✓Trusted resolution
We may earn a commission if you sign up via our links.
#5
★
Metaculus
Serious forecasting for serious questions
8.6/10
Free, science-focused forecasting
- ✓Totally free
- ✓High-quality question set
- ✓Rigorous scoring
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How we rank
We score every operator on fees, liquidity, market variety, user experience and trust. Our reviews are independent, but we may earn a commission when you sign up through our links — this never affects our ratings.
Criterion 01
Fees
Criterion 02
Liquidity
Criterion 03
Variety
Criterion 04
UX
Criterion 05
Trust
Latest guides
Guides →Basics6 min read
What Are Prediction Markets?
A plain-English intro to prediction markets, how they price probability, and why they beat pundits.
Read guide
Comparisons9 min read
Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Should You Choose in 2026?
A detailed head-to-head on fees, liquidity, regulation and UX.
Read guide
Strategy5 min read
How to Read Prediction Market Odds
Odds, probability, spread and volume — explained without jargon.
Read guide
Legal8 min read
Are Prediction Markets Legal in Your Country?
A country-by-country rundown of prediction market legality.
Read guide
Frequently asked questions
A prediction market is a marketplace where people trade contracts whose payout depends on the outcome of a real-world event, aggregating information into a calibrated probability.
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