Metaculus
Ernsthafte Prognosen für ernsthafte Fragen
8.6
VS
Polymarket logo
Polymarket
Der größte Prognosemarkt der Welt
8.8

Metaculus vs Polymarket: Full Comparison

Our pick: Polymarket

After scoring both platforms across fees, liquidity, regions, payout speed, ease of use and trust, Polymarket wins overall at 8.8/10 vs 8.6/10 for Metaculus. Read on for the section-by-section breakdown and which platform suits your use case.

Side-by-side comparison

Fees
Metaculus
Free
Polymarket
0% trading fees
Liquidity
Metaculus
7.0/10
Polymarket
9.6/10
Supported regions
Metaculus
Global
Polymarket
Global (excl. some jurisdictions)
Payout speed
Metaculus
N/A – reputation-based points
Polymarket
Minutes (USDC on Polygon)
Ease of use
Metaculus
8.4/10
Polymarket
9.0/10
Trust score
Metaculus
9.5/10
Polymarket
8.7/10

Metaculus

Gebühren10.0
Liquidität7.0
Vielfalt8.5
Nutzererlebnis8.4
Vertrauen9.5

Polymarket

Gebühren9.4
Liquidität9.6
Vielfalt9.3
Nutzererlebnis9.0
Vertrauen8.7

Fees

Metaculus charges Free. Polymarket charges 0% trading fees. On our normalized fee score Metaculus comes out ahead (10.0/10 vs 9.4/10).

Liquidity & markets

Metaculus covers science, geopolitics, ai, forecasting research; Polymarket covers politics, crypto, sports, culture. Order-book depth favors Polymarket, so large orders fill with less slippage there.

Supported regions

Metaculus: Global. Polymarket: Global (excl. some jurisdictions). Always confirm eligibility from your jurisdiction before funding an account.

Payout speed

Metaculus: N/A – reputation-based points. Polymarket: Minutes (USDC on Polygon).

Ease of use

Both platforms offer a mobile experience. Our UX scoring puts Polymarket in front for onboarding and daily trading flow.

Safety & trust

Metaculus operates under Forecasting platform (non-monetary). Polymarket operates under CFTC-registered (via QCX). On our trust score Metaculus rates higher.

Who should choose which

Choose Metaculus if…
  • Komplett kostenlos
  • Hochwertige Fragen
  • Strenges Scoring
Choose Polymarket if…
  • Höchste Liquidität
  • Keine Gebühren
  • Tausende Märkte

Frequently asked questions

Polymarket scores higher overall (8.8/10 vs 8.6/10) thanks to stronger liquidity and a better balance of fees and market variety, but Metaculus can still be the right pick depending on your region and priorities.
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