Metaculus
Ernsthafte Prognosen für ernsthafte Fragen
8.6
VS
PredictIt
Der klassische US-Politik-Prognosemarkt
7.2

Metaculus vs PredictIt: Full Comparison

Our pick: Metaculus

After scoring both platforms across fees, liquidity, regions, payout speed, ease of use and trust, Metaculus wins overall at 8.6/10 vs 7.2/10 for PredictIt. Read on for the section-by-section breakdown and which platform suits your use case.

Side-by-side comparison

Fees
Metaculus
Free
PredictIt
10% profit + 5% withdrawal
Liquidity
Metaculus
7.0/10
PredictIt
7.4/10
Supported regions
Metaculus
Global
PredictIt
USA, limited international
Payout speed
Metaculus
N/A – reputation-based points
PredictIt
1–3 business days (ACH)
Ease of use
Metaculus
8.4/10
PredictIt
7.0/10
Trust score
Metaculus
9.5/10
PredictIt
8.6/10

Metaculus

Gebühren10.0
Liquidität7.0
Vielfalt8.5
Nutzererlebnis8.4
Vertrauen9.5

PredictIt

Gebühren6.0
Liquidität7.4
Vielfalt6.8
Nutzererlebnis7.0
Vertrauen8.6

Fees

Metaculus charges Free. PredictIt charges 10% profit + 5% withdrawal. On our normalized fee score Metaculus comes out ahead (10.0/10 vs 6.0/10).

Liquidity & markets

Metaculus covers science, geopolitics, ai, forecasting research; PredictIt covers us politics (focus). Order-book depth favors PredictIt, so large orders fill with less slippage there.

Supported regions

Metaculus: Global. PredictIt: USA, limited international. Always confirm eligibility from your jurisdiction before funding an account.

Payout speed

Metaculus: N/A – reputation-based points. PredictIt: 1–3 business days (ACH).

Ease of use

Both platforms offer a mobile experience. Our UX scoring puts Metaculus in front for onboarding and daily trading flow.

Safety & trust

Metaculus operates under Forecasting platform (non-monetary). PredictIt operates under Academic (Victoria University of Wellington). On our trust score Metaculus rates higher.

Who should choose which

Choose Metaculus if…
  • Komplett kostenlos
  • Hochwertige Fragen
  • Strenges Scoring
Choose PredictIt if…
  • Lange Historie
  • Tiefe Politmärkte
  • Zuverlässige Auflösung

Frequently asked questions

Metaculus scores higher overall (8.6/10 vs 7.2/10) thanks to stronger trust and a better balance of fees and market variety, but PredictIt can still be the right pick depending on your region and priorities.
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