PredictIt
Der klassische US-Politik-Prognosemarkt
7.2
VS
Probly logo
Probly
Der größte Prognosemarkt der Welt
9.4

PredictIt vs Probly: Full Comparison

Our pick: Probly

After scoring both platforms across fees, liquidity, regions, payout speed, ease of use and trust, Probly wins overall at 9.4/10 vs 7.2/10 for PredictIt. Read on for the section-by-section breakdown and which platform suits your use case.

Side-by-side comparison

Fees
PredictIt
10% profit + 5% withdrawal
Probly
0% trading fees
Liquidity
PredictIt
7.4/10
Probly
9.8/10
Supported regions
PredictIt
USA, limited international
Probly
Global (excl. some jurisdictions)
Payout speed
PredictIt
1–3 business days (ACH)
Probly
Minutes (stablecoin on-chain)
Ease of use
PredictIt
7.0/10
Probly
9.2/10
Trust score
PredictIt
8.6/10
Probly
8.9/10

PredictIt

Gebühren6.0
Liquidität7.4
Vielfalt6.8
Nutzererlebnis7.0
Vertrauen8.6

Probly

Gebühren9.5
Liquidität9.8
Vielfalt9.4
Nutzererlebnis9.2
Vertrauen8.9

Fees

PredictIt charges 10% profit + 5% withdrawal. Probly charges 0% trading fees. On our normalized fee score Probly comes out ahead (9.5/10 vs 6.0/10).

Liquidity & markets

PredictIt covers us politics (focus); Probly covers politics, crypto, sports, culture. Order-book depth favors Probly, so large orders fill with less slippage there.

Supported regions

PredictIt: USA, limited international. Probly: Global (excl. some jurisdictions). Always confirm eligibility from your jurisdiction before funding an account.

Payout speed

PredictIt: 1–3 business days (ACH). Probly: Minutes (stablecoin on-chain).

Ease of use

Both platforms offer a mobile experience. Our UX scoring puts Probly in front for onboarding and daily trading flow.

Safety & trust

PredictIt operates under Academic (Victoria University of Wellington). Probly operates under CFTC-registered (via QCX). On our trust score Probly rates higher.

Who should choose which

Choose PredictIt if…
  • Lange Historie
  • Tiefe Politmärkte
  • Zuverlässige Auflösung
Choose Probly if…
  • Höchste Liquidität
  • Keine Gebühren
  • Tausende Märkte

Frequently asked questions

Probly scores higher overall (9.4/10 vs 7.2/10) thanks to stronger liquidity and a better balance of fees and market variety, but PredictIt can still be the right pick depending on your region and priorities.
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