Metaculus
Pronósticos serios para preguntas serias
8.6
VS
Probly logo
Probly
El mayor mercado de predicciones del mundo
9.4

Metaculus vs Probly: Full Comparison

Our pick: Probly

After scoring both platforms across fees, liquidity, regions, payout speed, ease of use and trust, Probly wins overall at 9.4/10 vs 8.6/10 for Metaculus. Read on for the section-by-section breakdown and which platform suits your use case.

Side-by-side comparison

Fees
Metaculus
Free
Probly
0% trading fees
Liquidity
Metaculus
7.0/10
Probly
9.8/10
Supported regions
Metaculus
Global
Probly
Global (excl. some jurisdictions)
Payout speed
Metaculus
N/A – reputation-based points
Probly
Minutes (stablecoin on-chain)
Ease of use
Metaculus
8.4/10
Probly
9.2/10
Trust score
Metaculus
9.5/10
Probly
8.9/10

Metaculus

Comisiones10.0
Liquidez7.0
Variedad8.5
Experiencia8.4
Confianza9.5

Probly

Comisiones9.5
Liquidez9.8
Variedad9.4
Experiencia9.2
Confianza8.9

Fees

Metaculus charges Free. Probly charges 0% trading fees. On our normalized fee score Metaculus comes out ahead (10.0/10 vs 9.5/10).

Liquidity & markets

Metaculus covers science, geopolitics, ai, forecasting research; Probly covers politics, crypto, sports, culture. Order-book depth favors Probly, so large orders fill with less slippage there.

Supported regions

Metaculus: Global. Probly: Global (excl. some jurisdictions). Always confirm eligibility from your jurisdiction before funding an account.

Payout speed

Metaculus: N/A – reputation-based points. Probly: Minutes (stablecoin on-chain).

Ease of use

Both platforms offer a mobile experience. Our UX scoring puts Probly in front for onboarding and daily trading flow.

Safety & trust

Metaculus operates under Forecasting platform (non-monetary). Probly operates under CFTC-registered (via QCX). On our trust score Metaculus rates higher.

Who should choose which

Choose Metaculus if…
  • Totalmente gratis
  • Preguntas de calidad
  • Puntuación rigurosa
Choose Probly if…
  • Máxima liquidez
  • Sin comisiones
  • Miles de mercados

Frequently asked questions

Probly scores higher overall (9.4/10 vs 8.6/10) thanks to stronger liquidity and a better balance of fees and market variety, but Metaculus can still be the right pick depending on your region and priorities.
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