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Ideal para: Traders de EE.UU. que buscan una plataforma regulada Última actualización 15 de julio de 2026

Kalshi Review

El hogar regulado del trading de eventos en EE.UU.

9.1/10
Regulado por la CFTC (EE.UU.)
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Veredicto: La forma más segura y regulada de operar predicciones desde EE.UU., con gran app móvil.

Resumen

Kalshi is the first federally-regulated event exchange in the United States, licensed by the CFTC as a Designated Contract Market. It lets US residents legally trade yes/no contracts on real-world outcomes — elections, weather, economic data, sports and pop culture — with US dollar deposits and insured cash balances.

Comisiones

Kalshi charges variable per-contract fees that scale with price and volatility, and can reach roughly 2% at the extremes. Deposits and withdrawals via ACH are free; cards and wires may carry processor fees. Overall trading cost is higher than Polymarket but still competitive with legacy sportsbooks.

Liquidez y mercados

Kalshi's flagship markets — presidential outcomes, Fed decisions, macro data, major sports — hold healthy books and tighten around news events. Smaller markets can be thin, but a growing market-maker programme has narrowed spreads across most active listings during 2025 and 2026.

Facilidad de uso

The Kalshi mobile app is genuinely best-in-class: fast onboarding, clean order tickets, push alerts on your positions and one-tap ACH funding. The web experience is equally polished. Signup requires standard US KYC and takes a few minutes.

Seguridad y confianza

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange, meaning it is legally supervised at the federal level in all 50 US states. Client cash is held in segregated bank accounts and covered by FDIC pass-through insurance up to standard limits. This is the strongest regulatory posture of any platform we cover.

Valoración
Comisiones8.2
Liquidez9.0
Variedad8.7
Experiencia9.4
Confianza9.7
Datos clave
Fundada
2018
Sede
New York, USA
Regulación
CFTC-regulated exchange (USA)
Métodos de pago
ACH, Debit card, Wire, Crypto
Disponibilidad
USA + expanding internationally

Disponibilidad en Europa

Kalshi is US-focused: full access currently requires a US Social Security Number and US bank account. European users can read markets but generally cannot fund or trade. Kalshi has signalled international expansion but had not launched an EU-facing product at the time of writing.

Pros y contras

Pros
  • Regulación CFTC
  • Depósitos en USD
  • App excelente
  • Fuertes mercados de deportes y elecciones
  • Saldos asegurados
Contras
  • Comisiones hasta 2%
  • Menos mercados exóticos
  • Mejor experiencia en EE.UU.

Cómo se compara

Against Probly and Polymarket, Kalshi trades lower liquidity and higher fees for real regulatory protection and fiat rails. Against PredictIt, Kalshi wins on market breadth, position sizes and app quality. If you are a US resident and safety is your first filter, Kalshi is the default recommendation on this site.

Veredicto

La forma más segura y regulada de operar predicciones desde EE.UU., con gran app móvil.

FAQ

Sí, regulado por la CFTC en los 50 estados.
Lecturas relacionadas

Por Alex Marchetti · Prediction Markets Arena