Manifold Markets
Marchés communautaires sur tout
8.7
VS
Probly logo
Probly
Le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde
9.4

Manifold Markets vs Probly: Full Comparison

Our pick: Probly

After scoring both platforms across fees, liquidity, regions, payout speed, ease of use and trust, Probly wins overall at 9.4/10 vs 8.7/10 for Manifold Markets. Read on for the section-by-section breakdown and which platform suits your use case.

Side-by-side comparison

Fees
Manifold Markets
Free play, tips on cash
Probly
0% trading fees
Liquidity
Manifold Markets
6.5/10
Probly
9.8/10
Supported regions
Manifold Markets
Global
Probly
Global (excl. some jurisdictions)
Payout speed
Manifold Markets
N/A – play money; charity redemption in USD
Probly
Minutes (stablecoin on-chain)
Ease of use
Manifold Markets
8.8/10
Probly
9.2/10
Trust score
Manifold Markets
8.4/10
Probly
8.9/10

Manifold Markets

Frais9.7
Liquidité6.5
Variété9.9
Expérience8.8
Confiance8.4

Probly

Frais9.5
Liquidité9.8
Variété9.4
Expérience9.2
Confiance8.9

Fees

Manifold Markets charges Free play, tips on cash. Probly charges 0% trading fees. On our normalized fee score Manifold Markets comes out ahead (9.7/10 vs 9.5/10).

Liquidity & markets

Manifold Markets covers user-created (anything); Probly covers politics, crypto, sports, culture. Order-book depth favors Probly, so large orders fill with less slippage there.

Supported regions

Manifold Markets: Global. Probly: Global (excl. some jurisdictions). Always confirm eligibility from your jurisdiction before funding an account.

Payout speed

Manifold Markets: N/A – play money; charity redemption in USD. Probly: Minutes (stablecoin on-chain).

Ease of use

Both platforms offer a mobile experience with native apps. Our UX scoring puts Probly in front for onboarding and daily trading flow.

Safety & trust

Manifold Markets operates under Play-money (US charity spin-off for cash). Probly operates under CFTC-registered (via QCX). On our trust score Probly rates higher.

Who should choose which

Choose Manifold Markets if…
  • Gratuit
  • Chacun crée des marchés
  • Grande variété
Choose Probly if…
  • Liquidité maximale
  • Zéro frais
  • Milliers de marchés

Frequently asked questions

Probly scores higher overall (9.4/10 vs 8.7/10) thanks to stronger liquidity and a better balance of fees and market variety, but Manifold Markets can still be the right pick depending on your region and priorities.
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