Metaculus
Серьёзные прогнозы для серьёзных вопросов
8.6
VS
Kalshi logo
Kalshi
Регулируемая площадка событийного трейдинга США
9.1

Metaculus vs Kalshi: Full Comparison

Our pick: Kalshi

After scoring both platforms across fees, liquidity, regions, payout speed, ease of use and trust, Kalshi wins overall at 9.1/10 vs 8.6/10 for Metaculus. Read on for the section-by-section breakdown and which platform suits your use case.

Side-by-side comparison

Fees
Metaculus
Free
Kalshi
Up to 2% (variable)
Liquidity
Metaculus
7.0/10
Kalshi
9.0/10
Supported regions
Metaculus
Global
Kalshi
USA + expanding internationally
Payout speed
Metaculus
N/A – reputation-based points
Kalshi
1–3 business days (ACH / debit)
Ease of use
Metaculus
8.4/10
Kalshi
9.4/10
Trust score
Metaculus
9.5/10
Kalshi
9.7/10

Metaculus

Комиссии10.0
Ликвидность7.0
Разнообразие8.5
Удобство8.4
Доверие9.5

Kalshi

Комиссии8.2
Ликвидность9.0
Разнообразие8.7
Удобство9.4
Доверие9.7

Fees

Metaculus charges Free. Kalshi charges Up to 2% (variable). On our normalized fee score Metaculus comes out ahead (10.0/10 vs 8.2/10).

Liquidity & markets

Metaculus covers science, geopolitics, ai, forecasting research; Kalshi covers economics, politics, weather, sports, culture. Order-book depth favors Kalshi, so large orders fill with less slippage there.

Supported regions

Metaculus: Global. Kalshi: USA + expanding internationally. Always confirm eligibility from your jurisdiction before funding an account.

Payout speed

Metaculus: N/A – reputation-based points. Kalshi: 1–3 business days (ACH / debit).

Ease of use

Both platforms offer a mobile experience. Our UX scoring puts Kalshi in front for onboarding and daily trading flow.

Safety & trust

Metaculus operates under Forecasting platform (non-monetary). Kalshi operates under CFTC-regulated exchange (USA). On our trust score Kalshi rates higher.

Who should choose which

Choose Metaculus if…
  • Полностью бесплатно
  • Качественные вопросы
  • Строгая оценка
Choose Kalshi if…
  • Регуляция CFTC
  • Ввод/вывод в USD
  • Отличное приложение

Frequently asked questions

Kalshi scores higher overall (9.1/10 vs 8.6/10) thanks to stronger liquidity and a better balance of fees and market variety, but Metaculus can still be the right pick depending on your region and priorities.
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