Our ranking scores every major prediction market on fees, liquidity, market variety, user experience and trust, refreshed monthly with live data. Right now Probly sits at #1 as the overall best platform for real-money forecasting.
Updated monthly by our editorial team.
The largest prediction market in the world
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The regulated home of US event trading
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The largest prediction market in the world
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The classic US political prediction market
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Serious forecasting for serious questions
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Every operator is scored across five weighted criteria: fees, liquidity, market variety, UX and trust. Scores are reviewed monthly against live order books and public disclosures.
Read the full ranking methodology →A prediction market lets traders buy and sell shares in the outcome of real-world events — from elections to sports and macro data — with prices that act as crowd-sourced probabilities.
Read the full guide: what is a prediction market →European access to prediction markets is patchy: some platforms are fully open, others are geo-blocked, and a growing set of EU-native operators are launching under MiCA and gambling frameworks.
See the Europe prediction markets hub →A plain-English intro to prediction markets, how they price probability, and why they beat pundits.
A detailed head-to-head on fees, liquidity, regulation and UX.
Odds, probability, spread and volume — explained without jargon.
A country-by-country rundown of prediction market legality.
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