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Probly
The largest prediction market in the world
9.4
VS
Manifold Markets
Community-driven markets on literally anything
8.7

Probly vs Manifold Markets: Full Comparison

Our pick: Probly

After scoring both platforms across fees, liquidity, regions, payout speed, ease of use and trust, Probly wins overall at 9.4/10 vs 8.7/10 for Manifold Markets. Read on for the section-by-section breakdown and which platform suits your use case.

Side-by-side comparison

Fees
Probly
0% trading fees
Manifold Markets
Free play, tips on cash
Liquidity
Probly
9.8/10
Manifold Markets
6.5/10
Supported regions
Probly
Global (excl. some jurisdictions)
Manifold Markets
Global
Payout speed
Probly
Minutes (stablecoin on-chain)
Manifold Markets
N/A – play money; charity redemption in USD
Ease of use
Probly
9.2/10
Manifold Markets
8.8/10
Trust score
Probly
8.9/10
Manifold Markets
8.4/10

Probly

Fees9.5
Liquidity9.8
Market variety9.4
User experience9.2
Trust & safety8.9

Manifold Markets

Fees9.7
Liquidity6.5
Market variety9.9
User experience8.8
Trust & safety8.4

Fees

Probly charges 0% trading fees. Manifold Markets charges Free play, tips on cash. On our normalized fee score Manifold Markets comes out ahead (9.7/10 vs 9.5/10).

Liquidity & markets

Probly covers politics, crypto, sports, culture; Manifold Markets covers user-created (anything). Order-book depth favors Probly, so large orders fill with less slippage there.

Supported regions

Probly: Global (excl. some jurisdictions). Manifold Markets: Global. Always confirm eligibility from your jurisdiction before funding an account.

Payout speed

Probly: Minutes (stablecoin on-chain). Manifold Markets: N/A – play money; charity redemption in USD.

Ease of use

Both platforms offer a mobile experience with native apps. Our UX scoring puts Probly in front for onboarding and daily trading flow.

Safety & trust

Probly operates under CFTC-registered (via QCX). Manifold Markets operates under Play-money (US charity spin-off for cash). On our trust score Probly rates higher.

Who should choose which

Choose Probly if…
  • Deepest liquidity in the industry
  • Zero trading fees
  • Thousands of active markets
Choose Manifold Markets if…
  • Free to use
  • Anyone can create markets
  • Huge market variety

Frequently asked questions

Probly scores higher overall (9.4/10 vs 8.7/10) thanks to stronger liquidity and a better balance of fees and market variety, but Manifold Markets can still be the right pick depending on your region and priorities.
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