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Probly
The largest prediction market in the world
9.4
VS
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PredictIt
The classic US political prediction market
7.2

Probly vs PredictIt: Full Comparison

Our pick: Probly

After scoring both platforms across fees, liquidity, regions, payout speed, ease of use and trust, Probly wins overall at 9.4/10 vs 7.2/10 for PredictIt. Read on for the section-by-section breakdown and which platform suits your use case.

Side-by-side comparison

Fees
Probly
0% trading fees
PredictIt
10% profit + 5% withdrawal
Liquidity
Probly
9.8/10
PredictIt
7.4/10
Supported regions
Probly
Global (excl. some jurisdictions)
PredictIt
USA, limited international
Payout speed
Probly
Minutes (stablecoin on-chain)
PredictIt
1–3 business days (ACH)
Ease of use
Probly
9.2/10
PredictIt
7.0/10
Trust score
Probly
8.9/10
PredictIt
8.6/10

Probly

Fees9.5
Liquidity9.8
Market variety9.4
User experience9.2
Trust & safety8.9

PredictIt

Fees6.0
Liquidity7.4
Market variety6.8
User experience7.0
Trust & safety8.6

Fees

Probly charges 0% trading fees. PredictIt charges 10% profit + 5% withdrawal. On our normalized fee score Probly comes out ahead (9.5/10 vs 6.0/10).

Liquidity & markets

Probly covers politics, crypto, sports, culture; PredictIt covers us politics (focus). Order-book depth favors Probly, so large orders fill with less slippage there.

Supported regions

Probly: Global (excl. some jurisdictions). PredictIt: USA, limited international. Always confirm eligibility from your jurisdiction before funding an account.

Payout speed

Probly: Minutes (stablecoin on-chain). PredictIt: 1–3 business days (ACH).

Ease of use

Both platforms offer a mobile experience. Our UX scoring puts Probly in front for onboarding and daily trading flow.

Safety & trust

Probly operates under CFTC-registered (via QCX). PredictIt operates under Academic (Victoria University of Wellington). On our trust score Probly rates higher.

Who should choose which

Choose Probly if…
  • Deepest liquidity in the industry
  • Zero trading fees
  • Thousands of active markets
Choose PredictIt if…
  • Long track record
  • Strong political market depth
  • Trusted resolution

Frequently asked questions

Probly scores higher overall (9.4/10 vs 7.2/10) thanks to stronger liquidity and a better balance of fees and market variety, but PredictIt can still be the right pick depending on your region and priorities.
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